israel
Six children are among at least nine Palestinians killed in an Israeli airstrike that hit a residential building in southern Gaza. AP reports:
https://flip.it/0aIbE6
#News #WorldNews #IsraelHamas War #Israel #Palestine
An Israeli air raid hits the southern Gaza city of Rafah overnight, killing 22 people, including 18 children, health officials said Sunday. Israel's near-daily strikes on Rafah come as the US is close to approving additional military aid to Israel. AP reports: https://flip.it/QDJs7T
#News #WorldNews #Israel #Gaza #Rafah
i spend my time mocking #MAGA and #vatniks
but due to recent news, i'm going to point some vitriol at another audience right now:
criticize #Israel govt / #Netanyahu all you want. 100% ok
but any #antisemitism or hatred of #Judaism / #Jews makes you a pathetic piece of sh**
change, douchebag
you're as #fascist as MAGA
and some more bile for some others:
criticize #Hamas all you want
but any hate for #Palestinians, and you too are a fascist #bigot
it's a f***ing shame i have to say this
#Trump says #police raid on university #protesters 'beautiful to watch'
Trump, at a rally in Waukesha, #Wisconsin, called for tougher action against campus protests & again suggested some of the protesters were paid actors. He called on college presidents to “remove the encampments immediately, vanquish the locals & take back our campuses for all of the normal students.”
#Protests #CollegeProtests #Israel #Gaza #Palestinians
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-heads-wisconsin-michigan-after-being-hit-with-gag-order-fine-2024-05-01/
Since October 7th, I've joined protests, fundraising events for Gaza, and students on university campuses.
As a Jew and someone who has a ton of friends and family in Israel, I want to share some thoughts on claims of antisemitism in student encampments and the broader Palestinian solidarity movement:
In #Israel, thousands of protesters are marching on the Ayalon highway and police are making arrests. They want their govt. to accept the deal with Hamas.
Here’s everything to know about Gaza truce proposal Hamas has agreed to | Israel War on Gaza News | Al Jazeera
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/5/6/heres-everything-know-about-gaza-deal-hamas-agreed
"The proposal includes three phases and would see an end to Israel’s war on Gaza as well as the release of Israeli captives held in the enclave and Palestinians held in Israeli prisons."
#Palestine #Gaza #Israel
@palestine
WTAF?
Exclusive: #Trump #ForeignPolicy advisers met Israeli PM #Netanyahu
3 fmr #UnitedStates foreign policy ofcls in Trump's admin met w/ Benjamin Netanyahu & other public figures in #Israel on Mon….
The delegation was comprised of Robert O'Brien, who served as Trump's 4th & final #NationalSecurity adviser, as well as fmr Ambassador to the #UAE John Rakolta & fmr Ambassador to #Switzerland Ed McMullen….
#geopolitics #Gaza
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/donald-trump-foreign-policy-advisers-met-israeli-pm-netanyahu-source-says-2024-05-20/
🙄 #Israel airstrike in Rafah kills dozens as #Netanyahu acknowledges "tragic mistake"
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hamas-rockets-central-israel-gaza-strip-sirens/
Your periodic reminder that #TikTok is co-owned by (and he did the initial funding for #ByteDance) #JeffYass.
Jeff Yass is *the* largest #GOP donor.
Jeff Yass funded a right wing #Israel thinktank to corrupt the judiciary for #Netanyahu.
Jeff Yass was the largest investor in #TrumpMedia (#TruthSocial), they sold recently.
Oh and look at the news today:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trump-joins-tiktok-years-trying-ban-app-rcna155072
"#Trump joins TikTok years after trying to ban the app"
Get
the
fuck
off
Tik
Tok
On the ICC warrants for Hamas & Israeli leaders, one line of protest is that “Hamas are autocrats but Bibi is democratically elected.” Um, so what? Whatever you think of Israeli voting choices, only leaders can be held responsible for giving the orders amounting to “Go ahead, slaughter the innocents.” I honestly don’t get it.
#Israel's #Gantz moves to dissolve parliament
Israeli war cabinet minister #BennyGantz's #centrist party has proposed holding a vote to dissolve #parliament in a bid to bring about an early #election, his party said in a statement on Thurs.
#MiddleEast #geopolitics #Netanyahu #Gaza #war #HumanitarianCrisis
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-gantz-moves-dissolve-parliament-statement-2024-05-30/
#OpenAI finds its #tech being used for #propaganda & #US 2024 #ElectionInterference
#ChatGPT maker OpenAI found #Russia, #China, #Iran & #Israel groups using its #technology to #influence global political discourse, highlighting concerns #generative #ArtificialIntelligence is making it easier for state actors to run covert #propaganda campaigns as the presidential election nears.
#ForeignDisinformationCampaigns #disinformation #generativeAI
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/05/30/openai-disinfo-influence-operations-china-russia/
#IDF confirms strike on #Hezbollah commander in #Beirut, #Lebanon
The IDF said the commander is responsible for Saturday's strike that killed children playing soccer in #MajdalShams in the Israeli-controlled #GolanHeights.
#war #WarExpansion #WiderWar #RegionalConflict #MiddleEast #GlobalSecurity #geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Israel #Netanyahu
https://abc7.com/post/israel-lebanon-strike-idf-says-targeted-senior-hezbollah/15122507/
They should have played this when he entered into congress
You know, it occurred to me today there’s very likely a certain class of German citizen—not the government or mainstream media, I’d not go that far at this point—who from the shadows will be saying, aloud where he feels safe:
“Let the Jews hang themselves. Keep the support, funding and arms flowing, by all means! When they’ve finished with Gaza and the crime is finally exposed and recognized, they’ll know how it feels...”
#gaza #israel #germany #usa #canada #shame #judaism #mastodononline
Tens of thousands of pro-Palestine protesters attend rally in Sydney, Australia this weekend!
#AureFreePress #News #press #headline #Australia #Israel #gaza #Breaking #BreakingNews
🚧 2 Minutes Ago: 🔥 Horrific 🔥 Fire in 🇮🇱 #Israel – Major Cities Burn, Over 95,000 in Tears..🩸
As the 🌞 sun rose over Israel, it DID NOT bring 👹 #peace — only 💨 smoke and sorrow.
What should have been a calm and hopeful morning turned into a #nightmare, as massive wildfires broke out across the country. Hills and valleys once full of life are now 🕵️ cloaked in thick, #suffocating_smoke. 🏡 #Homes, forests 🎄 , and communities lie in ruins. 💥
This video captures the heartbreaking reality on the ground — fast-moving, unforgiving fires consuming everything in their path. Firefighters are battling tirelessly, but the scale of devastation is overwhelming.
📛 DISCLAIMER: We Cover the 'Way' the #News is #COVERED_UP! 👿
WELCOME TO #DECENTRALIZED_GLOBALIZATION 🌐 #GLOBALIZATION is NOT Dead! It's just the Beginning!..
The NEW DIGITAL GLOBAL ORDER | NO NATIONALITY LEFT BEHIND | COMING SOON! 🌏 🌍 🌎
🔴 The #Next #Global_Superpower Isn't Who You #Think 🧠 WHO is TastingTraffic.com?
🧠 https://youtu.be/uiUPD-z9DTg
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回复该消息 ——
针对以色列的 “伊斯兰阵线” 是不会存在的。对于过去来说 - 是的，要建立这样一个阵线的可能性并非为零，但同样 - 这样一个阵线不可避免地会有非常大的难以堵住的缺口。
问题在于没有伊斯兰团结，也没有阿拉伯团结。曾经有人试图创建一个泛阿拉伯的复兴社会党，该党甚至在叙利亚、伊拉克、约旦、苏丹、黎巴嫩等地都有分支机构。然而他们显然把精力放在折腾彼此上了，而不是折腾资本家。但至少这些人都是阿拉伯人，没有出现身份认同的问题，而土耳其和某个所谓的伊斯兰阵线总体上只是一个东方童话。仅仅因为在这里，除了政治和教派内部的分歧之外，还有民族主义的矛盾。阿拉伯人对奥斯曼帝国记忆犹新，绝非所有人都认为那个时代是生命的庆典。
最重要的是，土耳其和哈马斯是穆斯林兄弟。而阿拉伯世界对穆斯林兄弟的态度非常暧昧。他们基本上被视为边缘化的且不可谈判的暴徒。
埃尔多安表面上呼吁对抗以色列，但实际上他并不关心巴勒斯坦人，他是在呼吁加入哈马斯 (https://t.me/iyouport/13888)。没人会帮哈马斯的，同样也没有人会去帮助以哈马斯为食的卡塔尔。前者是他的同事，后者是他的奶牛。
另方面，埃尔多安在国内也有自己的问题。经济形势非常糟糕。通货膨胀，停滞。在此背景下，反对党的支持率正在上升，虽然不是很快，但却很稳定。因此他需要一场危机来转移当地选民的注意力，最重要的是，要解释（尽管是歪曲性地解释）为什么土耳其会出现问题。
这是一个规律：政权的崩溃和彻底破产往往会被一系列无休止的人为危机所掩盖，这些危机要求暴力急剧增加，并从根本上粉碎任何具有相当具体和客观原因的不满情绪 (https://t.me/iyouport/13820)。
所有独裁政权迟早都会走到需要敌人的阶段。埃尔多安已经接近这个阶段了。
#以色列 #土耳其 #哈马斯 #Israel #Turkey #Hamas
JFC
#Iran is preparing an imminent #ballistic #missile attack against #Israel, a #WhiteHouse ofcl said Tues. The #UnitedStates is “actively supporting” Israel’s “defensive preparations…A direct #military attack from Iran against Israel will carry severe consequences for Iran.” The warning of a strike came after an Israeli security ofcl said Israeli troops crossed into south #Lebanon to “remove threats & to deal w/ #Hezbollah strongholds.”
#geopolitics #MiddleEast #war
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/01/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
Top #Hezbollah commander killed in Israeli strike on #Beirut - 2 security sources
Top Hezbollah commander #IbrahimAqil was killed on Friday in an Israeli strike on Beirut's southern suburos, 2 #security sources told Reuters.
One of the sources said he was killed alongside members of Hezbollah's elite Radwan unit as they were holding a meeting.
#Israel #Lebanon #Iran #Gaza #MiddleEast #war #geopolitics
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/top-hezbollah-commander-killed-israeli-strike-beirut-two-security-sources-2024-09-20/
局势动态果然来了。
【1】
如前所言，
伊斯兰革命卫队现在处于极其困难的境地。一方面，无论是指挥部和高级顾问，还是其控制下的代理部队的高层人员，都遭受了极其惨痛的损失；同时伊朗国内的局势对其也极为不利：伊朗最高权力机构中伊斯兰革命卫队的坚定盟友莱西已经死了，取而代之的是一个对伊斯兰革命卫队并无特别同情、提出的路线与卫队的利益背道而驰的人。与此同时，伊斯兰革命卫队接二连三地受到打击，他们肯定也坐不住了。
解决之道显而易见：制造某种军事危机，让反对伊斯兰革命卫队的伊朗领导人除了支持卫队外别无他法。如果对伊朗动武，即使是最具“改革”意识的总统也会被迫接受挑战。
因此，伊斯兰革命卫队对以色列进行任何直接挑衅的可能性现在都大大增加。
就这一主题而言，警告称伊朗可能会使用弹道导弹、无人机和巡航导弹攻击以色列领土。其目的是挑起报复性打击，防止伊朗领导人“袖手旁观”，就像哈尼亚死掉后的那样。
请注意，伊斯兰革命卫队拥有军队也拥有的各种装备、武器和弹药，因此他们可以独立开展攻击以色列的行动，而无需征得总统的正式同意。然而，袭击本身将被所有人视为“不是伊斯兰革命卫队的行动”，而是“伊朗的行动”，因此，回应将不是针对卫队的，而是针对整个伊朗。而事实上这很可能就是目的。
理论上唯一能直接禁止伊斯兰革命卫队此类行动的人是哈梅内伊。但有一个细微之处在于，在纳斯鲁拉死后，哈梅内伊被以确保其“安全”为借口，被伊斯兰革命卫队人员严密看守着，实际上与总统及其手下隔离开了。
哈梅内伊声称10月4日将发表“重要讲话”。上一次这样的情况发生在两年前 (https://iyouport.substack.com/p/2022?utm_source=publication-search)。
当然，问题在于伊斯兰革命卫队是否会获得行动许可，还是会放缓行动。如果行动放缓，其处境将不容乐观。这当然不是伊斯兰革命卫队的末日，而是地区和国内力量平衡的重大变化（如前所述 https://t.me/iyouport/14010 ），伊斯兰革命卫队在其中发挥的作用将小得多。
哈梅内伊能同意吗？当然可以。这家伙是个老油条，他知道在什么时候戴哪张面具最有利。
…… 未完
关于纳斯鲁拉死亡 ——
【1】
真主党领导人纳斯鲁拉死亡的报道没有被反驳。路透社称，“与真主党高级领导层的联系已经中断”。在此背景下，有报道称以色列可能即将在黎巴嫩发动地面行动。如果真主党领导层死亡，这种行动在战术上是合理的 —— 该组织的协调和指挥系统在一段时间内会失去作用。将会受到很大的干扰。
据说连同纳斯鲁拉在内，真主党南部前线的最高指挥部几乎全部阵亡，因此目前武装分子对以色列边境的控制显然已被打破。
这里重要的是伊朗的反应。“改革派”现在掌权，削弱伊斯兰革命卫队符合他们的利益，而真主党正是伊斯兰革命卫队的代理机构。
伊斯兰革命卫队攫取了太多权力，严重扭曲了伊朗政权的内部平衡。
因此，愤怒的言辞会被说出来，这是一种强制性的仪式；但是否会有下文，则是另外问题。
***
以色列在大约一个半月的时间里歼灭了真主党的全部高级领导层。与他一起被炸死的还有大量伊斯兰革命卫队的顾问，他们负责监督特遣队并实际领导该组织开展行动。
伊斯兰革命卫队的代理机构受到了沉重打击。它需要多长时间才能恢复真主党的作战和行动能力还很难说；可能要数月之久。此外，与此同时，伊朗本身也出现了与西方达成协议的明显趋势。由于伊朗和美国都曾多次违反协议（在伊朗，伊斯兰革命卫队历来对局势升级负责，而美国对伊朗的政策也在很大程度上取决于谁在执政），因此一切都很不稳定。
无论如何，改革派必须改变伊朗政坛的平衡，因为任何协议都可能被伊斯兰革命卫队破坏。
从这个意义上讲，真主党的失败（或者说是其实力的大幅削弱）、哈马斯的进一步边缘化、以及胡塞武装暴行的停止，都可能成为伊斯兰革命卫队失去其大部分硬件能力的保证。
然而，西方国家也意识到，与伊朗达成的任何协议都将面临破裂的风险，而在对伊斯兰革命卫队实施可持续的国家控制机制之前，与伊朗达成任何严肃的协议都是不可能的。
…… 未完