Pundits don’t talk about it bc it kills the drama around potential spoilers but the reality is that most 3rd party voters’ political identity is tied to their disdain for "the duopoly" and they tend to vote 3rd party consistently.
So while some of the small number of voters who would’ve actually cast a ballot for RFK will go to #Trump or #Harris, many will gravitate toward Jill Stein or Libertarian Chase Oliver. And I guess some single-issue antivaxxers will just stay home. #RFKJr #Election2024